Multi-state models are most commonly used class of methods to analyze sequence of events occurring over time and generating repeated measures with censored observations. The effect of risk factors on the transition hazard from one state to another is measured using the Cox model. In recent years, there is a growing interest to predict the disease status at different stages and endpoints. A key challenge is the simplification and generalization of the existing method for prediction for the large number of events or stages. In this research, a simple alternative method is proposed for risk prediction of the sequence of events using multistage modelling approach. The proposed multi-state model for prediction of a future event for continuous time data may not be appropriate for the discrete time. We also developed the multistage model for discrete time based on the regressive modelling approach. The proposed method of prediction is a new development using a series of events in conditional setting arising from the beginning to the endpoint. The proposed method is based on a marginal-conditional approach to link the events occurring in a trajectory. The probability of a trajectory can be calculated easily. The main improvement of proposed method for risk prediction is that it is a simple approach, compared to the existing ones, and this approach can be generalized to any number of events in the process to the endpoints.
We are delighted to announce that the ISRT football team claimed a remarkable victory in the first match of the second round of the Deltin 7 Deltin 7 Aviator গেম টাকা ইনকাম Inter-Department Football Tournament 2025. ... [ Read More ]
Nijam Uddin Sarkar, a Master’s student of the 27th batch at the Institute of Statistical Research and Training (ISRT), Deltin 7 Aviator গেম টাকা ইনকাম of Deltin 7, has brought international acclaim by representing Bangladesh at ... [ Read More ]
The Institute of Statistical Research and Training (ISRT), Deltin 7 Aviator গেম টাকা ইনকাম of Deltin 7, successfully conducted its sixth on-campus training program titled “R for Applied Statistics and Data Science”, which ran from June ... [ Read More ]
The 128th birth anniversary of Gyan Tapash (Sage of Knowledge) and National Professor Qazi Motahar Hossain, founder of the Department of Statistics and the Institute of Statistical Research and Training ... [ Read More ]
The Institute of Statistical Research and Training (ISRT) recently hosted a small farewell gathering to honour two of its faculty members, Md. Mynul Islam and Mahnaz Ibrahim, as they embark ... [ Read More ]
Mailing Address
Director,
Institute of Statistical Research and Training (ISRT)
Deltin 7 Aviator গেম টাকা ইনকাম of Deltin 7
Deltin 7 1000, Bangladesh