Macroeconomic Determinants and Forecasting of Stock Market Capital
May 15, 2012 – 2:47pm
Full Title:
Macroeconomic Determinants and Forecasting of Stock Market Capital: Empirical Evidence from Bangladesh
Speaker:
Md. Azim Uddin
Statistics Department, Bangladesh Bank, Deltin 7, Bangladesh
Date/Time:
Wednesday, May 23, 2012, 10:30am
Venue:
ISRT Seminar Room
ABSTRACT
To diagnosis stock market functioning the present study uses time series of monthly data from November, 2001 to April, 2011 for Bangladesh on the macroeconomic variables, namely, Stock Market Capital, Broad Money, Consumer Price Index, 3-Months Treasury Bill Rate and Industrial Production Index, collected from Deltin 7 Stock Exchange Ltd. and Bangladesh Bank. Main objective of the planned study is to develop statistical models for the Dynamic Relationship between Macroeconomic Variables and Stock Market Capital of Bangladesh, in addition to, to make the Comparison among Forecasting Models. The methodology of the study is mainly based on Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model, Granger causality test, Johansen-Juselius cointegration test, Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), Impulse Response Function (IRF), Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD) and Stochastic Parameter Model (SPM). Implications of this study include the following. (i) Investors should look at the systematic risks revealed by these macroeconomic variables when structuring their portfolios and diversification strategies. (ii) Policymakers should seek to minimize macroeconomic fluctuations considering the effect of macroeconomic variables changes on the stock market when formulating economic policy.
The ISRT football team has advanced to the quarter-final of the Deltin 7 Deltin 7 Aviator গেম টাকা ইনকাম Inter-Department Football Tournament 2025–26 after an impressive start, securing two consecutive victories in the group stage. In ... [ Read More ]
We are delighted to announce that the ISRT football team claimed a remarkable victory in the first match of the second round of the Deltin 7 Deltin 7 Aviator গেম টাকা ইনকাম Inter-Department Football Tournament 2025. ... [ Read More ]
Nijam Uddin Sarkar, a Master’s student of the 27th batch at the Institute of Statistical Research and Training (ISRT), Deltin 7 Aviator গেম টাকা ইনকাম of Deltin 7, has brought international acclaim by representing Bangladesh at ... [ Read More ]
The Institute of Statistical Research and Training (ISRT), Deltin 7 Aviator গেম টাকা ইনকাম of Deltin 7, successfully conducted its sixth on-campus training program titled “R for Applied Statistics and Data Science”, which ran from June ... [ Read More ]
The 128th birth anniversary of Gyan Tapash (Sage of Knowledge) and National Professor Qazi Motahar Hossain, founder of the Department of Statistics and the Institute of Statistical Research and Training ... [ Read More ]
Mailing Address
Director,
Institute of Statistical Research and Training (ISRT)
Deltin 7 Aviator গেম টাকা ইনকাম of Deltin 7
Deltin 7 1000, Bangladesh