BEGIN:VCALENDAR VERSION:2.0 PRODID:-//Institute of Statistical Research and Training - ECPv6.16.4//NONSGML v1.0//EN CALSCALE:GREGORIAN METHOD:PUBLISH X-ORIGINAL-URL:https://isrt.ac.bd X-WR-CALDESC:Events for Institute of Statistical Research and Training REFRESH-INTERVAL;VALUE=DURATION:PT1H X-Robots-Tag:noindex X-PUBLISHED-TTL:PT1H BEGIN:VTIMEZONE TZID:UTC BEGIN:STANDARD TZOFFSETFROM:+0000 TZOFFSETTO:+0000 TZNAME:UTC DTSTART:20220101T000000 END:STANDARD END:VTIMEZONE BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=UTC:20231106T140000 DTEND;TZID=UTC:20231106T153000 DTSTAMP:20260619T093926 CREATED:20231105T053544Z LAST-MODIFIED:20231105T054143Z UID:6243-1699279200-1699284600@isrt.ac.bd SUMMARY:Applied Statistics and Data Science Seminar on Monday\, November 6\, 2023 DESCRIPTION:Title: On the Development and Validation of Risk Prediction Models for Rare Outcomes \nVenue and time: ISRT\, 2:00 pm \nPresenter:  Dr. Md. Shafiqur Rahman\, Professor of Applied Statistics\, ISRT \nAbstract: \nRisk prediction models are commonly developed in clinical research to predict patients’ future health outcomes such as death or state of illness due to disease and/or to classify patients into clinical risk groups (low\, medium\, and high). Predictions from these models are useful to make joint decisions with both patient and clinician for future courses of treatment. However\, clinicians will be reluctant to use these models unless they can trust their predictions. To maximize the prediction accuracy and clinical utility of these models\, it is essential to ensure that they are rigorously developed\, validated\, and evaluated. However\, the standard process of model development and validation faces serious problems when the outcome is rare. This talk discusses the methodological challenges and possible solutions of model development and validation for data with rare outcomes. Issues are discussed providing separate examples of predictive models for binary and survival data with rare outcomes and illustrating them using both simulated and practical data. URL:https://isrt.ac.bd/event/applied-statistics-and-data-science-seminar-on-monday-november-6-2023/ CATEGORIES:seminar END:VEVENT END:VCALENDAR